Investors are closely watching the decline in Spac deals at Credit Suisse

Credit Suisse Group’s business underwriting blank-check Spacs boomed to start the year. That helped offset other huge problems — most notably a $5.5bn loss from the March collapse of Archegos Capital Management.

Now the market for Spacs — or special-purpose acquisition companies — has come off the boil, and new underwriting fees are threatening to dry up. Credit Suisse’s Spac deals are being closely watched by investors and analysts, because revenue from them came to represent a large chunk of overall investment-banking revenue last year. That raised concerns that the fees and deal volume might not be sustainable.

Credit Suisse went from making an estimated $466m in gross Spacs underwriting fees in the first quarter, to $16.1m between April 1 and June 15, according to data provider Refinitiv.

Across banks, Spac underwriting fees fell to $541m in the second quarter to June 15, from a record $4.85bn in the first quarter, according to Refinitiv data. Other banks, including Citigroup and Goldman Sachs Group, also saw sharp dives in their Spac initial public offering fees in the second quarter, according to Refinitiv data.

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Spacs are shell companies that raise money to target a private company and take it public. They became a popular cash cow for big-name investors and celebrities in soaring stock markets, but demand cooled in the second quarter as shares of some companies that merged with Spacs tumbled and the Securities and Exchange Commission toughened its stance on the format.

The drop-off in activity doesn’t mean banks will stop reporting strong Spac revenue. Refinitiv calculates full IPO underwriting fees upfront, while in practice, banks receive around 2% of money raised when the Spac goes public and another 3.5% or so if and when the Spac buys or merges with another company. Mergers continued in the second quarter, producing those deferred underwriting fees, and frequently additional fees too for deal advice or raising more cash.

Nearly 300 Spacs have said they intend to raise money, meaning new blank-check IPOs and underwriting could pick up again.

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The SPAC business is emblematic of the bank’s post-Archegos dilemma: It wants to ratchet down risk and focus on managing the wealth of the global rich — but investment banking brought in 40% of revenue last year. Credit Suisse Chairman António Horta-Osório, who started May 1, said there could be strategic changes and that tough decisions lie ahead.

Credit Suisse’s share price has been among the worst performers of global banks this year, down 14%. Over the same period, an index of European banking stocks is up by more than one quarter.

The Spac fee surge last year helped Credit Suisse offset $1.3bn in unexpected charges from a legal case, and revaluing a hedge-fund stake. The revenue took on more importance when Archegos Capital, the family office of hedge-fund manager Bill Hwang, couldn’t meet margin calls at several banks in March, causing more than $10bn in losses at lenders exiting the Archegos positions.

Credit Suisse said it was able to largely contain losses from Archegos because of the strong quarter it had elsewhere in the investment bank, including in underwriting Spacs and other IPOs. It reported a $275m first-quarter net loss and tapped shareholders for $2bn capital in April.

The bank said losses could also be material from the collapse of another client, financial firm Greensill Capital, with which Credit Suisse ran $10bn in investment funds.

Credit Suisse doesn’t break out Spac revenue in published earnings. However, its chief financial officer, David Mathers, told analysts in April that around $300m of $1.5bn capital markets and advisory fees in the first quarter came from Spacs. Revenue across Credit Suisse was around $8.4bn.

Credit Suisse was the biggest underwriter of Spacs last year, benefiting from relationships with serial Spac founders such as venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya and deal maker and Vegas Golden Knights owner Bill Foley. The Swiss bank invested in the sector in the years before Spacs went mainstream, hiring veteran Spac banker Niron Stabinsky in 2015.

Write to Margot Patrick at [email protected]

This article was published by Dow Jones Newswires

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